Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Time to buy Pounds to New Zealand Dollars?


Buying New Zealand Dollars? Moving to New Zealand?

NZ commodity prices fell for the fifth consecutive month in December in a broad-based slide, a survey by ANZ Bank showed. ANZ's commodity price index fell 7.4% on the previous month, a sharper drop than in November, and was down 24.4% on a year earlier.
Commodity prices falling will be negative with NZ looking to the farming community to prop up a slowing economy.

I like buying GBPNZD - technically a well defined risk reward (target 2.80, stop 2.44) as commodity price fall flows through to the real economy in NZ and we see a dramatic slow down in spending (on a year on year basis) and further increase in unemployment.

This also plays a bounce in GBP from its currently depressed levels.

Buy for now

IMS Foreign Exchange

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