Thursday, October 9, 2008

Australian Dollar Exchange Rate fights back against the Pound but Outlook suggests further Falls


Hi All,

The Pound to Australian Dollar exchange rate yesterday saw one of the most surprising rally's I have ever seen as the Dollar exchange rate went from 2.2700 to 2.7200 almost a 20% jump. The question everyone is asking is;


Simple answer the global economy is in melt down and foreign exchange traders around the world are having to take off complex carry trades which are bets on interest rates and now heading to the safe haven of US Dollars, Swiss Francs and Japanese Yen.

(The Australian Dollar and the New Zealand Dollar for the matter has been used as a high yielding currency and traders have been borrowing from Japan by buying Japanese Yen which current interest rate is 0.5% and investing in the Australian and NZ market at 7%+. )

Before you rush to buy Australian dollars there is further risk these trades will drag the Australian Dollar to US Dollar back to the 2001 levels 0.4775 this will correlate to a Pound to Australian Dollar Buy Rate of around 2.900/3.000 a level that most people didn't expect to see this year or next for that matter.

Traders will watch technical levels on the Australian dollar today, said Westpac's Rennie. The currency closed below 67.15 U.S. cents yesterday, a 61.8 percent retracement from its April 2001 low to a July 2008 high, according to a series of numbers known as the Fibonacci sequence. The close below that level could "open up a deeper sell- off and a long-term target to the 2001 lows at 47.75,'' wrote London-based Kevin Edgeley, a technical analyst at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in a research note dated Oct. 8. source Bloomberg

So if you are migrating to Australia or just an expat sending money to Australia enjoy the bonus of a global meltdown/credit crisis - you are one of the very people that we benefit from the current market conditions.

Buy for now

Need to buy Australian Dollars at the best rate

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